NEW YORK — Wall Street rallied in a whipsaw Friday and erased its morning losses after looking deeper into the nuances of a surprisingly strong report on the U.S. job market.
The S&P 500 climbed 1.2% after charging back from an earlier drop of 0.9%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 288 points, or 0.9%, and the Nasdaq composite flipped to a gain of 1.6%.
Stocks initially tumbled after a report showed U.S. employers added nearly twice as many jobs last month as economists expected. The strength raised worries that a too-hot job market could keep upward pressure on inflation, which could push the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates higher than investors want.
Treasury yields leaped after the report, and the yield on the 10-year Treasury again soared to its highest level since 2007. It was at 4.78%, up from 4.72% late Thursday.
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But Treasury yields pared their gains as the morning progressed, as economists pointed to some more encouraging data in the jobs report.
The two-year Treasury yield more closely tracks expectations for Fed action, and it quickly soared from 5.04% just before the release of the jobs report to 5.20% shortly afterward. It then pulled back to 5.08%.
Traders work July 1, 2022, on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange.
Among the potentially encouraging signals for the Fed: Workers’ average wages rose at a slower rate in September than economists expected. That could remove some inclination by companies to keep raising prices for their products.
Average hourly earnings rose at the slowest rate, on a year-over-year basis, since June 2021.
Reports next week on inflation at the consumer and wholesale levels are the next big data points due before the Fed’s next announcement on interest rates Nov. 1. Next week also will see the unofficial start to earnings reporting season for the S&P 500.
Friday’s whiplash for stocks meant the S&P 500 went from a loss of 0.9% to a gain of as much as 1.5% That swing of 2.4 percentage points was the S&P 500’s largest since March, when high interest rates triggered a crisis in the banking industry.
All told, the S&P 500 rose 50.31 points to 4,308.50. The Dow gained 288.01 to 33,407.58, and the Nasdaq jumped 211.51 to 13,431.34.
General Motors rose 1.9% after the United Auto Workers union said it will not expand its strikes against Detroit’s three automakers. The union said GM made a breakthrough concession on unionizing electric vehicle battery plants.
Oil prices also swung several times through the day. A barrel of benchmark U.S. crude rose 48 cents to settle at $82.79, while Brent crude rose 51 cents to $84.58.
Abroad, indexes were higher across much of Europe and Asia. Japan’s Nikkei 225 slipped 0.3%.
The best city in each state to start a business
The best city in each state to start a business
Starting a new business can be an exhilarating yet daunting journey. Inherent to each new business venture lies the challenge of navigating opportunity and risk, and unfortunately, nearly half of all new businesses fail by the end of their fifth year. Amidst these odds, the location of a business can influence its chances of long-term survival and prosperity.
While traditionally, major urban centers have been seen as the go-to for startups, the findings of this analysis suggest otherwise. Many of the top cities for businesses in 2023 are not the largest in their states but instead, have a much more modest population size. These smaller cities offer distinct advantages; tight-knit communities foster deeper local networking, and lower operational costs and less market saturation allow new businesses to establish themselves more swiftly and gain a loyal customer base.
To identify the best city in every state to start a business, Swyft Filings, a business formation service, referred to the most recent data from the United States Census Bureau, the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and other government sources. They evaluated all cities in the U.S. with a population over 50,000 on factors that can play a key role in influencing business success, including the cost of doing business, workforce productivity, crime rates, and population growth.
These are the best cities in each state to start a new business
These are the best cities in each state to start a new business
Key findings
Entrepreneurship tends to fare better in cities overall: In 2022, about 1.5% of Americans, or 15 out of every 1,000 people, submitted a new business application. While this marks a notable engagement in entrepreneurial activities, business applications across the United States decreased by 6.2% from 2021-2022. However, cities fared somewhat better, where the average decline in business applications during the same period was 5.8%, and the number of business applications per capita surpassed the national average, coming in at 1.7%, or 17 out of every 1,000 people.
Population growth and new business applications are positively correlated: Perhaps unsurprisingly, an analysis of all cities in the U.S. with a population above 50,000 revealed a slight positive correlation between population growth from 2021-2022 and the growth in business applications filed during the same period, Pearson’s r = 0.29. In other words, cities experiencing population growth also saw a rise in new business applications during the same period. However, it is important to note that this correlation does not necessarily illustrate a direct cause-and-effect relationship, and further research may be required to delineate the nuanced dynamics at play.
More business applications, less unemployment: Analysts at Swyft Filings uncovered a slight negative correlation between business applications per capita in 2022 and the unemployment rate in 2023, Pearson’s R = -0.23. While causation cannot be established from a correlation alone, this statistic suggests that cities with an above-average density of business applications filed in 2022 tended to see below-average unemployment rates in the subsequent year.
The best city in each state to start a business
Alabama: Decatur
Alaska: Anchorage
Arizona: Lake Havasu City
Arkansas: Conway
California: Visalia
Colorado: Grand Junction
Connecticut: Hartford
Delaware: Wilmington
Florida: Cape Coral
Georgia: Marietta
Idaho: Twin Falls
Illinois: Bloomington
Indiana: Fort Wayne
Iowa: Dubuque
Kansas: Topeka
Kentucky: Bowling Green
Louisiana: Lafayette
Maine: Portland
Maryland: Frederick
Massachusetts: Worcester
Michigan: Grand Rapids
Minnesota: Rochester
Mississippi: Jackson
Missouri: Columbia
Montana: Billings
Nebraska: Lincoln
Nevada: North Las Vegas
New Hampshire: Nashua
New Jersey: Vineland
New Mexico: Albuquerque
New York: Schenectady
North Carolina: Wilmington
North Dakota: Fargo
Ohio: Toledo
Oklahoma: Lawton
Oregon: Bend
Pennsylvania: Erie
Rhode Island: Warwick
South Carolina: Charleston
South Dakota: Rapid City
Tennessee: Murfreesboro
Texas: New Braunfels
Utah: Provo
Virginia: Newport News
Washington: Spokane Valley
Wisconsin: Oshkosh
Wyoming: Cheyenne
Methodology
To identify the best city in each state to start a business, the data and research team at Swyft Filings ranked cities with a population of 50,000 or more across six key dimensions: new business applications, the cost of doing business, workforce productivity, unemployment rates, crime rates, and population growth. Below is a percent breakdown of how the data from each category factored into the scoring system.
New business applications: 30%
New business applications, both per capita and their year-over-year change, provide a clear insight into the entrepreneurial climate of a city. A high volume suggests a thriving environment that fosters new business initiatives.
Cost of doing business: 15%
The proportion of household expenditures to income is a direct indicator of the affordability of starting and maintaining a business. Cities with lower operating costs may be more attractive to new business owners. Not only do they present fewer financial barriers to entry, but long-term, businesses may find it easier to cover operating costs, reinvest in growth, and withstand financial downturns.
Workforce productivity: 15%
Average weekly wages were used as a benchmark to gauge the productivity and effectiveness of the local workforce. A well-compensated workforce generally indicates a pool of talented professionals, which is crucial for the growth of any new business.
Unemployment rates: 10%
The current unemployment rate and year-over-year change in unemployment were used to evaluate the overall economic health of cities. Low unemployment rates suggest a robust economy and can also mean a competitive job market, which is vital for businesses looking for talent.
Crime rates: 15%
Safety is paramount for any new enterprise, and the local crime rate is a strong determinant of a city’s overall business-friendliness. Cities with lower crime rates offer a more secure environment for businesses, employees, and customers.
Population growth: 15%
The annual growth rate of a city’s population reflects its desirability and potential market size. An upward trend indicates a vibrant community and a potential increase in the customer base, making it an enticing location for new businesses.
Note: Vermont and West Virginia were excluded from the analysis due to insufficient data.
This story was produced by Swyft Filings and reviewed and distributed by Stacker Media.
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